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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 415
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: WNAR
Abstract - #309100
Title: Mathematical Modeling and Statistical Methods for AIDS Translational Research from Benchside to Bedside
Author(s): Hulin Wu*+
Companies: University of Rochester
Address: Dept of Biostatistics and Computational, Rochester, NY, 14642,
Keywords: HIV/AIDS ; Viral Dynamics ; Differential Equation Models ; Viral Fitness
Abstract:

We propose statistical methods to estimate HIV viral dynamic parameters in both in vitro experiments and clinical trials that are described by a set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODE). It is quite challenging to study the identifiability and fit the nonlinear differential equation models without a closed form solution. We employ an engineering technique to study the identifiability of the proposed ODE models. For model fitting and parameter estimation, we propose the naive nonlinear least squares method that requires numerically solving the ODEs and a two-step method that avoids the numerical solution of the ODEs. We present the asymptotic results of the proposed estimators and finite-sample properties via Monte Carlo simulations. We also illustrate the proposed methods by applying the methods to HIV viral fitness experimental data and AIDS clinical trial data.


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Revised September, 2007