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Activity Number:
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164
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Type:
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Roundtables
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Date/Time:
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Monday, July 30, 2007 : 12:30 PM to 1:50 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistical Consulting
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| Abstract - #308809 |
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Title:
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Right Answer, Wrong Question: Characterization and Reduction of the Risk of Type III Error in Statistical Applications
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Author(s):
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John L. Eltinge*+
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Companies:
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Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Address:
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OSMR, PSB 1950, Washington, DC, 20212,
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Keywords:
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Adoption and diffusion of technology ; Communication ; Feedback loops ; Opportunity cost ; Project management ; Risk management
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Abstract:
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2007 marks the 50th anniversary of the publication of an article by A. W. Kimball on Type III error, defined as "the error committed by giving the right answer to the wrong problem." This open roundtable will explore practical approaches to Type III error, with special emphasis on four questions: What do we mean by "wrong problem"? What are some especially notable examples of Type III error that the roundtable participants have encountered in their consulting work? In light of the abovementioned examples, what systematic approaches can statisticians take to identify potential sources of Type III error, to detect these errors quickly when they occur, and to limit the impact of these errors? What practical implications do these systematic approaches have for the training and management of statistical consultants?
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- The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
- Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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