JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 521
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Thursday, August 2, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Statisticians in the Pharmaceutical Industry
Abstract - #307685
Title: Choice of the Primary Analysis in Longitudinal Clinical Trials
Author(s): Craig Mallinckrodt*+
Companies: Eli Lilly and Company
Address: Lilly Corporate Center, Indianapolis, IA, 46285,
Keywords: missing data ; longitudinal data ; clinical trials
Abstract:

The last observation carried forward (LOCF) approach is often used to handle missing data. Advances in methodology and its implementation have made likelihood- and Bayesian-based approaches easy to implement and they are commonly used. Research has unequivocally demonstrated that these approaches are more robust to the biases from missing data and provide better control of Type I and Type II errors than LOCF. The supposed conservative behavior of LOCF is never guaranteed and is often unlikely. Furthermore, using LOCF as a composite measure of safety, tolerability and efficacy can lead to erroneous conclusions regarding the effectiveness of a drug. Although practice is shifting away from LOCF, regulatory acceptance of alternative approaches is slow. Greater acceptance of MAR-based approaches is needed to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of drug development.


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Revised September, 2007