JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2006 Joint Statistical Meetings in Seattle, Washington.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.

Back to main JSM 2006 Program page

Activity Number: 354
Type: Other
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 9, 2006 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: The ASA
Abstract - #307664
Title: The CCSP Report on Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere
Author(s): Richard L. Smith*+
Companies: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Address: Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599-3260,
Keywords: global warming ; time series regression ; uncertainty estimation
Abstract:

The Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) was set up by the Bush administration in 2002 with a charge of producing 21 reports on different aspects of climate change. The first report, "Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere", claimed that the lower atmosphere was indeed growing warmer, in contrast to some earlier published studies, and that there was "clear evidence of human influences on the climate system." Despite this apparently clear-cut conclusion, the report raised many further issues. This talk will review the whole report with particular reference to statistics and the report's approach to assessing uncertainty.

  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2006 program

JSM 2006 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised April, 2006