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Activity Number:
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244
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Tuesday, August 8, 2006 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Risk Analysis
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| Abstract - #307592 |
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Title:
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Smallpox and Pandemic Influenza: Modeling Potential Challenges for the U.S. Blood Supply
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Author(s):
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Steven Anderson*+
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Companies:
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U.S. Food and Drug Administration
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Address:
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1401 Rockville Pike, HFM210, Rockville, MD, 20852,
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Keywords:
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computer modeling ; smallpox ; pandemic influenza ; whole blood ; safety ; transfusion risks
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Abstract:
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Each year there are approximately four million life-saving blood transfusions in the U.S. Blood shortages or perturbations in supply can occur on a local or regional basis. Blood safety is ensured by measures including deferral of at-risk donors, testing, and others. Infectious diseases and measures to prevent disease spread can challenge the safety and supply of blood. We developed a computer model of the U.S. blood supply. Using several nationwide smallpox vaccination scenarios, we show potential impacts on the blood supply. Scenarios include vaccination programs of different durations and illustrate use of the model to evaluate possible measures that may maintain supply. We will illustrate model applications to evaluate various possible "what if" scenarios for pandemic influenza and possible measures that could preserve supply during a challenge.
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- The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
- Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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