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Activity Number: 277
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 8, 2006 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: IMS
Abstract - #307510
Title: Penalized Likelihood Ratio Method for the Spiking Problem in Nonincreasing Density Estimation
Author(s): Jayanta Pal*+
Companies: University of Michigan
Address: 1929 Plymouth Road, Ann Arbor, MI, 48105,
Keywords: likelihood ; monotone ; density ; penalization ; Brownian
Abstract:

The maximum likelihood estimation of a decreasing density, f, on the positive real line creates inconsistent estimate of f(0+). This is known as the spiking problem. Woodroofe and Sun (1993) considered a penalized likelihood and achieved consistent estimates. In this article, we characterize the restricted MLE under the null hypothesis H_0 : f(0+) =c. The target is to find out the (asymptotic) distribution of the (penalized) likelihood ratio under the null distribution. It will be useful to construct asymptotic level-alpha confidence interval for the endpoint. The limit distribution of the likelihood ratio with a chosen penalization is shown to be universal, and the quantiles can be numerically tabulated. This problem has applications in renewal theory and astronomical examples.


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