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Activity Number: 517
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 10, 2006 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract - #307214
Title: On Sensitivity Analysis of HIV-Free Survival
Author(s): Peng Zhang*+ and Stephen W. Lagakos
Companies: Harvard University and Harvard University
Address: 655 Huntington Ave., Boston, MA, 02115,
Keywords: composite ending points ; HIV vertical transmission ; Monte Carlo ; panel data ; sensitivity analysis
Abstract:

We consider estimation of the distribution of HIV-free survival in infants of HIV-infected mothers. Because HIV infection is a silent event, HIV infection status is assessed periodically using a diagnostic test, which is imperfect. Thus neither the occurrence of infection nor the time of occurrence can be known. The competing cause of failure--death--is observed continuously. The problem is further complicated by missing data, which includes non-informative missingness due to skipping pre-scheduled visits and possibly informative missingness due to death or lost follow-up. Because of the data structure, aspects of the underlying process are non-identifiable. We apply nonparametric methods to estimate the estimable aspects of the process and supplement these with non-parametric sensitivity analyses to make the inference about the distributions of HIV survival and overall survival time.


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