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Activity Number: 209
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 7, 2006 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Abstract - #306590
Title: Sequential Methodology for Detecting Jumps in Complex Surfaces
Author(s): Yan Lan*+ and George Michailidis
Companies: University of Michigan and University of Michigan
Address: Department of Statistics, 439 West Hall, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109,
Keywords: boundary curve ; sequential ; regression trees
Abstract:

In many scientific and engineering settings, the response surface of a physical phenomenon or engineering system has complex characteristics. The goal is to identify input settings that explore interesting features of the underlying surface. We present new sequential design methodology and are interested in developing computationally efficient methodology that detects and fits the underlying boundary curve, which usually has a complex shape. The proposed methodology utilizes a variety of techniques, such as regression trees, structural change models, various tests such as Anderson-Darling and likelihood ratio tests and QQ-plots. We start with a small initial design, which is subsequently refined, as more information about the boundary curve is obtained. The methodology proves fairly robust to noise and is illustrated on a number of simulated data sets.


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