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Activity Number: 537
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 10, 2006 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #306394
Title: Using Administrative Records with Model-Assisted Estimation for the American Community Survey
Author(s): Robert Fay*+
Companies: U.S. Census Bureau
Address: Office of the Director, Stop 9001, Washington, DC, 20233-9001,
Keywords: ACS ; survey estimation ; Greg ; calibration estimators ; generalized regression estimation
Abstract:

Full implementation of the American Community Survey (ACS) began in 2005. Among other purposes, the ACS will replace the decennial census long-form data, enabling a short-form census in 2010. A test implementation of the ACS in 36 test counties during 1999-2001 suggested that the initial ACS estimation procedure, while adequate at the county level, yields higher variances at the small-area levels of tract and block group relative to the decennial long form. Previously reported research argued the likely success of an approach combining administrative record data with a generalized regression estimator. The case for likely success was based on the R-square of the underlying regression. This paper reports detailed results on a full implementation in 34 test counties, showing the degree to which the predictions based on regression diagnostics have been confirmed.


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