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Activity Number: 474
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 9, 2006 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Abstract - #306170
Title: A Bayes/Empirical Bayes Approach for Service Level Network Reliability/Survivability Measure
Author(s): Cheng Chen*+ and Margaret F. Land and Rajat Sethi
Companies: Texas A&M University and TeXas Environmental Studies and Analysis, LLC and Texas A&M University-Kingsville
Address: Math Department, 7MSC172, Kingsville, TX, 78363,
Keywords: empirical Bayes ; internet traffic ; reliability
Abstract:

Due to the explosive IP traffic growth over the past five years, carrying real-time voice and video traffic over Internet (VOIP) over the non-real-time IPv4 network becomes the most pressing needs for telecommunication industry. This poses a great challenge for the telecom network carrier, which is further complicated by the stringent reliability/availability requirements (.99999) of traditional voice networks. Key to resolve the challenge is to accurately estimate traffic flow in the network so that a network with optimized capacity can be designed. An Empirical Bayes estimation procedure to estimate live traffic was developed. The "asymptotic" behavior (property) of the proposed estimator is also obtained. The proposed method can also be applied in diseased states where mortality/survival analysis is an important aspect of research and data analysis.


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