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Activity Number:
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532
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Type:
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Topic Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Thursday, August 10, 2006 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security
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| Abstract - #306064 |
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Title:
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The Brave New World of Designing Simulation Experiments for Defense and Homeland Security Applications
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Author(s):
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Thomas W. Lucas*+ and Susan M. Sanchez
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Companies:
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Naval Postgraduate School and Naval Postgraduate School
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Address:
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1411 Cunningham Road, Monterey, CA, 93943,
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Keywords:
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simulation ; design of experiments ; validation ; exploratory modeling ; Latin hypercubes
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Abstract:
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The U.S. Department of Defense relies heavily on simulation models in its decisionmaking. Simulations assist in developing war plans, deciding what equipment to acquire, and determining how to organize and employ forces. Most of these simulations are extremely large and have many uncertain input variables. Also, their veracity is difficult to assess. This talk will examine our approaches to generating useful information from such models. We also will introduce a portfolio of designs we are developing and applying to efficiently obtain insights into a variety of defense and homeland security issues.
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