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Activity Number: 103
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 7, 2006 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract - #305813
Title: Bayesian Variable Selection in Cox Models
Author(s): Naijun Sha*+ and Mahlet G. Tadesse and Marina Vannucci
Companies: The University of Texas at El Paso and University of Pennsylvania and Texas A&M University
Address: 500 W. University Ave., El Paso, TX, 79968,
Keywords: Bayesian variable selection ; Cox model ; survival analysis ; censored time ; MCMC
Abstract:

In this paper, we investigate variable selection methods for Cox's proportional hazard model. We develop selection methods that allow for censored data. Our methods lead to simultaneously estimates of the survival function as well as to the identification of the factors that affect the survival outcome. We handle the problem of selecting a few predictors among the prohibitively vast number of variables through the introduction of a binary exclusion/inclusion latent vector. This vector is updated via an MCMC technique to identify promising models. We describe strategies for prosterior inference and explore the performance of the methodology with simulated and real datasets.


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