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Activity Number: 188
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 7, 2006 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Health Policy Statistics
Abstract - #305417
Title: Power of Tests for a Dichotomous Independent Variable Measured with Error
Author(s): Daniel McCaffrey*+ and Marc Elliott
Companies: RAND Corporation and RAND Corporation
Address: 201 N. Craig Street, Suite 202, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213,
Keywords: maximum likelihood ; measurement error
Abstract:

We consider the power of three methods of testing differences in the means of groups defined by an unobserved dichotomous variable with known conditional probability p, given other predictors. The first method classifies observations into two groups by whether p exceeds a threshold. Method two tests the coefficient in a regression of the outcome on p. Method three estimates the difference in means by maximizing the outcomes' likelihood, given p. The efficiency of method one roughly scales with the square of one less the classification error. The efficiency of method two roughly scales with the R-square for predicting the unobserved dichotomous variable and is usually more powerful than method one. Method three is most powerful, but simulations show that for differences in means of 0.2 - 0.5 standard deviations, method two is about 90% as efficient as the MLE.


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