JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2006 Joint Statistical Meetings in Seattle, Washington.

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Activity Number: 93
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Monday, August 7, 2006 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Computing
Abstract - #305285
Title: Interpreting Recent Climate Change
Author(s): Francis W. Zwiers*+
Companies: Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis
Address: P.O. Box 1700, STN CSC, Victoria, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada
Keywords: climate modeling ; climate change detection and attribution ; climatic extremes
Abstract:

The climate research community makes extensive use of computationally expensive climate models to interpret past climate change as recorded in the historical instrumental data of the past 100--150 years and paleo-climate reconstructions of the past 1--2 millennia. This research has quantified the influence of external forcing from natural and anthropogenic sources on the climate system on global and regional scales, has contributed substantially to our understanding of the sensitivity of the climate system to forcing change such as a doubling of greenhouse gas concentrations, and is beginning to broach questions concerning changes in the intensity and frequency of climate extremes. In this talk, I will describe briefly climate models, the use of those models in the interpretation of historical climate changes, and some of the ensuing statistical issues.


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Revised April, 2006