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Activity Number: 362
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 9, 2006 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security
Abstract - #305018
Title: Monitoring Massive Streams Simultaneously: a Holistic Approach
Author(s): Deepak K. Agarwal*+
Companies: AT&T Labs-Research
Address: 180 Park Ave., Florham Park, NJ, 07932,
Keywords: Kalman filter ; prospective ; multiple testing
Abstract:

A holistic approach to prospective anomaly detection for massive number of streams is proposed. The method works by building a baseline model to capture normal behavior. Any baseline model that provides a p-value for the observed, relative to the predicted can be used. Anomalies are detected by tracking normal scores derived from p-values. A flexible and fast five-parameter Bayesian model adjusts for multiple testing at each time point. Methods to delete uninformative streams from the monitoring process are also discussed. The method is illustrated on a real application where our baseline model is built using a state space approach.


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