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Activity Number: 230
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 8, 2006 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #304982
Title: Some Problems and Possible Solutions in Developing a Small-Area Estimation Product for Clients
Author(s): Avinash C. Singh*+
Companies: Statistics Canada
Address: 120 Parkdale Ave., Ottawa, ON, K1A 0T6, Canada
Keywords: client input ; data gaps for small areas ; statistical tools and products ; best unbiased prediction via filtering
Abstract:

It is argued that taking on the challenge of developing a product (a menu-driven software system with user interface for client self-use) unlike a tool (requiring statistical skills to operate) is mutually beneficial for both researchers (for a disciplined R&D, setting priorities, and client input and validation at early stages) and clients (for understanding and confidence about the product and to plan for data gaps and customer needs in advance). We describe some problems and possible solutions for a SAE-product that enhances the existing methods by allowing for smoothing of the error covariance, collapsing of areas with little or no samples, multivariate modeling with combined longitudinal and cross-sectional data, approximate self-benchmarking to estimates of subgroups of areas or target variables, and Kalman filtering for computational efficiency and innovations for diagnostics.


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