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This is the preliminary program for the 2006 Joint Statistical Meetings in Seattle, Washington.

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Activity Number: 313
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 8, 2006 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: ENAR
Abstract - #304908
Title: Are Flexible Designs Sound?
Author(s): Carl-Fredrik Burman*+ and Christian Sonesson*+
Companies: AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals and AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals
Address: R&D, Mölndal, SE-431 83, Sweden AstraZeneca R&D, Mölndal, SE-431 83, Sweden
Keywords: adaptive design ; sample size reestimation ; sufficiency ; inference principles ; clinical trial
Abstract:

Some adaptive designs are controversial. Sample size re-estimation (SSRE) is one, in particular when based on interim efficacy estimates. The idea is attractive: why not modify the sample size in light of new information? With a weighted test, the type I error level can be protected. However, this test is not based on the sufficient statistic. The unblinded SSRE has been criticized as being less efficient than certain group-sequential designs. Burman & Sonesson argue that the violation of the sufficiency principle makes the inference invalid. They claim the weighted test may lead to paradoxical results: The null hypothesis of zero mean can be rejected, although the average response is zero. This session will contain a presentation and invited discussion of Burman & Sonesson's paper. The discussion will appear in Biometrics.


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Revised April, 2006