JSM 2005 - Toronto

Abstract #304405

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Legend: = Applied Session, = Theme Session, = Presenter
Activity Number: 518
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 11, 2005 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Government Statistics
Abstract - #304405
Title: Approximate Power Curves for Detecting Changes in Trend for Complex Surveys
Author(s): Maya Sternberg*+
Companies: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Address: 1600 Clifton RD MS E63, Atlanta, GA, 30333, United States
Keywords: power ; complex survey ; NCHS ; trends
Abstract:

The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) conducts several nationwide surveys using complex survey methods. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has used some of these data sources for their annual surveillance report to monitor trends in pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) throughout the past 10 years. Often, the design effect of a survey is used to provide general guidance about the power of a complex survey to detect changes relative to a simple random survey. This talk will outline an alternative approach where a test statistic will be combined with the results of the generalized variance curve published in the NCHS documentation to calculate the approximate power a survey may have to detect changes over time. This information can be used to gauge whether such surveys are practical and useful to monitor annual changes for a given health condition, or whether data from several annual surveys should be aggregated to achieve reasonable power to test for differences. The specific example of PID will be used and the observed power will be compared with the results obtained using the generalized variance curve information.


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Revised March 2005