JSM 2005 - Toronto

Abstract #303595

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Legend: = Applied Session, = Theme Session, = Presenter
Activity Number: 397
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 10, 2005 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Government Statistics
Abstract - #303595
Title: Historical Reconstruction of Employment Time Series for Metropolitan Areas in the Current Employment Statistics Program
Author(s): Brian Dahlin*+ and Molly Garber
Companies: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Labor Statistics
Address: 1830 Columbia Pike 503, Arlington, VA, 22204, United States
Keywords: BLS ; CES ; Labor ; Employment ; MSA ; Reconstruction
Abstract:

The Current Employment Statistics program at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics implemented revised Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) definitions with the release of its monthly employment estimates, effective with the January 2005 release. MSA geographical boundaries are determined by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) and updated as new population data and information regarding commuting patterns become available. The conversion of existing time series for MSAs that added or lost counties under the new definitions and the creation of historical time series for areas that did not exist under the previous set of MSA definitions required significant analysis to ensure the integrity of the reconstructed data. We discuss the methods used in the reconstruction process in detail in addition to limitations faced and techniques innovated to address them. The methods shown here form the basis of the reconstruction process to be used in future years to keep CES state and area time series current on a near real-time basis with future MSA revisions issued by OMB.


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Revised March 2005