JSM 2005 - Toronto

Abstract #303408

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Legend: = Applied Session, = Theme Session, = Presenter
Activity Number: 517
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 11, 2005 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #303408
Title: Models of Competitive Performance
Author(s): Simon J. Sheather*+
Companies: Texas A&M University
Address: Department of Statistics, College Station, TX, 77843, United States
Keywords: extreme values ; logisitic regression ; Poisson regression
Abstract:

In this talk, we develop a model of competitive performance when populations compete - such as in World Cup soccer, the Olympics, and international trade. We present a theoretical framework; an extreme-value statistical methodology; and empirical tests in chess, swimming, and beauty pageants based on logistic or Poisson regression. The findings show performance in these domains is substantially predictable from a few observable features of population and economic geography.

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Revised March 2005