JSM 2005 - Toronto

Abstract #302816

This is the preliminary program for the 2005 Joint Statistical Meetings in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 7-10, 2005); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

To View the Program:
You may choose to view all activities of the program or just parts of it at any one time. All activities are arranged by date and time.



The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.

The Program has labeled the meeting rooms with "letters" preceding the name of the room, designating in which facility the room is located:

Minneapolis Convention Center = “MCC” Hilton Minneapolis Hotel = “H” Hyatt Regency Minneapolis = “HY”

Back to main JSM 2005 Program page
Legend: = Applied Session, = Theme Session, = Presenter
Activity Number: 517
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 11, 2005 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #302816
Title: Regional Econometric Housing Forecast Accuracy
Author(s): Tom Fullerton*+
Companies: The University of Texas at El Paso
Address: CBA 236, El Paso, TX, 79968-0543, United States
Keywords: Regional ; Econometrics ; Housing ; Forecast ; Accuracy
Abstract:

Because of its importance to local business cycles, residential construction activity is included in many regional econometric forecasting models. Empirical evidence to date indicates regional housing start forecast accuracy is not precise. Other regional housing sector variable predictions have yet to be examined for historical accuracy. This paper analyzes the predictive accuracy of housing stock, price, mortgage payment, affordability, and sales forecasts published for El Paso, Texas. The 1998--2003 sample period includes expansion, recession, and recovery phases of the business cycle.

  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2005 program

JSM 2005 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised March 2005