JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #302009

This is the preliminary program for the 2004 Joint Statistical Meetings in Toronto, Canada. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 7-10, 2004); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

To View the Program:
You may choose to view all activities of the program or just parts of it at any one time. All activities are arranged by date and time.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.

Back to main JSM 2004 Program page
Activity Number: 90
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 9, 2004 : 9:00 AM to 10:50 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract - #302009
Title: Decision Analysis and Substitutions in the Boston Red Sox
Author(s): Elaine Allen*+ and Tanya Mercure and Jared Campbell
Companies: Babson College and Babson College and Babson College
Address: Math/Science Division, Wellesley, MA, 02457,
Keywords: decision analysis ; sports ; baseball
Abstract:

It's the bottom of the eighth inning, you're the manager for the Boston Red Sox facing the rival New York Yankees in Game 7 of the 2003 American League Championship. What do you do? With a laboring Pedro Martinez on the mound, Manager Grady Little decided to keep Martinez in for the bottom of the eighth. Comparing historic data on all pitchers available to the Red Sox before the bottom of the eighth inning to the batters scheduled to bat we used decision analysis to determine the best possible outcome of the game. Additionally, looking back at the 2003 season, we examined the batting performance and transitions to "slumps" by the Red Sox to determine the best course of action for batting substitutions over the season.

  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2004 program

JSM 2004 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised March 2004