JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #301953

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Activity Number: 376
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 11, 2004 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Computing
Abstract - #301953
Title: Robust and Misspecification Resistant Model Selection with Information Complexity and Genetic Algorithms
Author(s): Yan Liu*+ and Hamparsum Bozdogan
Companies: University of Tennessee and University of Tennessee
Address: 331 Stokely Management Center, Knoxville, TN, 37996-0532,
Keywords: robust regression ; misspecification ; information complexity ; genetic algorithms ; subset selection
Abstract:

We introduce and develop a new unified theory of model selection, which is robust and at the same time misspecification-resistant based on Bozdogan's information-theoretic measure of complexity (ICOMP) criterion. In developing ICOMP in robust regression, we take into account several critical issues, which include the model misspecification, the presence of outliers and the existence of autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity. With ICOMP in robust regression, we use the genetic algorithms (GA) to select the optimal subset of variables. The genetic algorithms enable the rapid computation of model subset selections that would otherwise be impossible in a reasonable amount of time. As a result, it is now feasible to automatically and dynamically develop the best-fitting models with many different combinations of variables.


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