JSM 2004 Online Program

Abstract #300704

This is the preliminary program for the 2004 Joint Statistical Meetings in Toronto, Canada. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 7-10, 2004); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

To View the Program:
You may choose to view all activities of the program or just parts of it at any one time. All activities are arranged by date and time.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.

Back to main JSM 2004 Program page

Activity Number:	297
Type:	Topic Contributed
Date/Time:	Wednesday, August 11, 2004 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor:	Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract - #300704
Title:	Streakiness in Team Performance
Author(s):	James Albert*+
Companies:	Bowling Green State University
Address:	Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics, Bowling Green, OH, 43403,
Keywords:	hot-hand ; baseball ; random-effects
Abstract:	In the 2002 baseball season, the Oakland Athletics had a 20-game winning streak that was one of the longest in baseball history. A standard p value calculation would suggest that this was indeed an unusual sports accomplishment. A random effects model is constructed for baseball competition and various streaky statistics are simulated from the predictive distribution from this model. Using this model, we see that streaks of length 20 or longer are possible and we should expect to see a streak similar to that of Oakland in every 25 years of baseball competition.

The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2004 program