JSM 2004 Online Program

Abstract #300634

This is the preliminary program for the 2004 Joint Statistical Meetings in Toronto, Canada. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 7-10, 2004); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

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Activity Number:	132
Type:	Luncheons
Date/Time:	Monday, August 9, 2004 : 12:30 PM to 1:50 PM
Sponsor:	Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #300634
Title:	Projecting the 2004 Elections: What's Changed? - SOLD OUT
Author(s):	Warren J. Mitofsky*+
Companies:	Mitofsky International
Address:	1776 Broadway, Suite 1708, New York, NY, 10024,
Keywords:	election projections ; presidential election ; television networks ; 2004 election
Abstract:	In 2000, projections of the presidential race by the television networks went astray. After congressional hearings, scrutiny by the media and academics and technical review by expert statisticians changes were planned, but were not successfully used by the networks on election night 2002. Now that we are in the midst of a new presidential election year, what will be different when we elect a president on November 2, 2004? There have been changes in methods and approach that will be discussed.

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