JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #300372

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Activity Number: 282
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 10, 2004 : 8:00 PM to 9:30 PM
Sponsor: ASA
Abstract - #300372
Title: Bayesians, Frequentists, and Scientists
Author(s): Bradley Efron*+
Companies: Stanford University
Address: Sequoia Hall, 390 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, 94305-4065,
Keywords:
Abstract:

Broadly speaking, 19th century statistics was Bayesian while the 20th century was frequentist, at least from the point of view of most scientific practitioners. Here in the 21st century scientists are bringing statisticians much bigger problems to solve, often comprising millions of data points and thousands of parameters. Which statistical philosophy will dominate practice? My guess, which I will try to back up with some recent examples, is that a combination of Bayesian and frequentist ideas will be needed to deal with our increasingly intense scientific environment.


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Revised March 2004