JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #300335

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Activity Number: 87
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 9, 2004 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Health Policy Statistics
Abstract - #300335
Title: The Effective Reproduction Number and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Author(s): Shenghai Zhang*+
Companies: Health Canada
Address: Centre for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Ottawa, ON, K1AOK9, Canada
Keywords: SARS ; basic reproduction number ; incubation period ; severe acute respiratory syndrome
Abstract:

Researchers has recently studied a new disease--severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). Although many results for the disease have been obtained, the mechanisms by which the virus spread are still not fully understood. A statistical methodology has been developed in this paper to estimate the distribution of incubation period and and effective reproduction number for the disease. The information from these estimations can be used to deal with the emergence of the disease and to help protect humans from the SARS virus in the future.


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Revised March 2004