JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #300134

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Activity Number: 256
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 10, 2004 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract - #300134
Title: Competitive Balance in Golf
Author(s): Scott M. Berry*+
Companies: Berry Consultants
Address: 5124 Bellerive Bend , College Station, TX, 77845,
Keywords: Bayesian analysis ; hierarchical models ; smoothing splines
Abstract:

In all sports in which an objective measure is available athletes in each successive era are better than the previous era. In sports where there are no objective measures it is more difficult to judge the level of competition through time. I analyze the results of golf tournaments over the last 75 years addressing the level of ability of the golfers. I measure the strength of the fields and the level of individual players through time. I employ Bayesian hierarchical models with smoothing splines for the effects of aging and the quality of the "field."


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Revised March 2004