JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #301542

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Activity Number: 333
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 11, 2004 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #301542
Title: Analysis of Ordinal Longitudinal Data
Author(s): Xian Zhou*+ and Benjamin N. Bekele and Peter Mueller
Companies: University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center and University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center and University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
Address: 1515 Holcombe Blvd., Houston, TX, 77030,
Keywords: mixture model ; probit model ; moving average model ; Dirichlet prior ; reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo
Abstract:

Albert & Chib proposed a Bayesian ordinal probit regression model using the Gibbs sampler. Their method defines a relationship between latent variables and ordinal outcomes using cut-point parameters. However, the convergence of this Gibbs sampler is slow when the sample size is large because the cutpoint parameters are not efficiently sampled. Cowles proposed a Gibbs/Metropolis-Hastings (MH) sampler that would update cutpoint parameters more efficiently. In the context of longitudinal ordinal data, these algorithms might require the computation of a multivariate normal cumulative probability function to calculate the acceptance probability of MH sampler. We introduce a mixture of probit model with latent variables following a moving average model. This mixture model can successfully model the ordinality of the data while holding constant the cutpoint parameters. Gibbs samplings under a Dirichlet prior and reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo are carried out to estimate a known or unknown number of components of a mixture model, respectively.


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