JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #301123

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Activity Number: 23
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, August 8, 2004 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #301123
Title: A Look at Several Gross Flows Estimation Methods with the Current Population Survey
Author(s): Stephen M. Miller*+
Companies: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Address: 2 Massachusetts Ave. NE, Room 4985, Washington DC, 20212,
Keywords: gross flows ; labor force transitions
Abstract:

Twenty years ago the Conference on Gross Flows in Labor Force Statistics, jointly sponsored by the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, was held to examine estimators of month-to-month change between labor force statuses. The need for such estimates was highlighted by an earlier report by the Levitan Commission. Since that conference several additional estimation methods have been proposed in both the statistics and economics literature. This paper presents an empirical examination of many of the estimators suggested over the last twenty years, applying them to recent data from the Current Population Survey. These estimators are also compared to a particular method under consideration by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

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