JSM Activity #CE2003_05C

This is the preliminary program for the 2003 Joint Statistical Meetings in San Francisco, California. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 2-5, 2003); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

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CE2003_05C Sat, 8/2/03, 8:15 AM - 4:15 PM N-Nikko Ballroom II
Causal Inference Through Potential Outcomes - Continuing Ed
ASA, Section on Bayesian Stat. Sciences
Instructor(s): Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University, Samantha R. Cook, Harvard University, Elizabeth A. Stuart, Harvard University
This course will present my perspective on understanding and teaching statistical inference for causal effects through potential outcomes. There are three parts to the course. The first part establishes the primitives that form the foundation. The second part presents inference based solely on the assignment mechanism; this perspective generalizes Fisher's (1925) and Neyman's (1923) randomization-based methods, and emphasizes the central role of the propensity score (Rosenbaum and Rubin, 1983). The third part presents inference based on predictive models for the distribution of the missing potential outcomes, formally, Bayesian posterior predictive inference (Rubin, 1978). In practice, the predictive approach is ideal for creating statistical procedures, whereas the assignment-based approach of Fisher is ideal for traditional confirmatory inference, and the assignment-based approach of Neyman is ideal for evaluating procedures. For best practice, being facile with all three approaches is important. There is essentially no prerequisite knowledge for this course, as the material is based on an introductory course taught at Harvard University and designed for students with very little quantitative background. Fees: M- $325 ($430 after July 18), NM- $415 ($520 after July 18), SM- $200 ($325 after July 18)
 

JSM 2003 For information, contact meetings@amstat.org or phone (703) 684-1221. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised March 2003