Abstract #300981

This is the preliminary program for the 2003 Joint Statistical Meetings in San Francisco, California. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 2-5, 2003); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

To View the Program:
You may choose to view all activities of the program or just parts of it at any one time. All activities are arranged by date and time.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.

Back to main JSM 2003 Program page
JSM 2003 Abstract #300981
Activity Number: 64
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Sunday, August 3, 2003 : 6:00 PM to 8:00 PM
Sponsor: General Methodology
Abstract - #300981
Title: In Search of the Magic Lasso: The Truth About Polygraph
Author(s): Aleksandra B. Slavkovic*+ and Stephen E. Fienberg and Peter B. Imrey and Patricia Grambsch
Companies: Carnegie Mellon University and Carnegie Mellon University and Cleveland Clinic Foundation and University of Minnesota
Address: Department of Statistics, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213,
Keywords: ROC ; polygraph ; criterion validity ; national security
Abstract:

In January 2001 the National Research Council's Committee on National Statistics convened a multidisciplinary committee, funded by Department of Energy, entrusted to review relevant research and assess the validity of polygraph examinations for personnel security screening. The resulting report, "The Polygraph and Lie Detection," reviews the construct validity of polygraph testing from a psychophysiological perspective, and its criterion validity (accuracy) from an epidemiological viewpoint using receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) extracted from a structured literature review. We summarize the report's statistical evaluation of the strength of polygraph as a diagnostic tool, data biases, and the implications of existing data for national security of polygraph screening.

  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2003 program

JSM 2003 For information, contact meetings@amstat.org or phone (703) 684-1221. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised March 2003