Abstract #300689

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JSM 2003 Abstract #300689
Activity Number: 436
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 7, 2003 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract - #300689
Title: Power of the Space-Time Scan Statistic for Disease Outbreak Detection
Author(s): Zhenkui Zhang*+ and Martin Kulldorff and Lan Huang and Farzad Mostashari and Rick Heffernan and Jessica Hartman
Companies: University of Connecticut and University of Connecticut and University of Connecticut and NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene and New York City Department and New York Academy
Address: 215 Glennbrook Rd., Storrs Mansfield, CT, 06268,
Keywords: scan statistic ; power evaluation ; disease surveillance ; syndromic surveillance
Abstract:

The space-time scan statistic is currently being used for daily disease surveillance for the early detection of disease outbreaks in New York City and other places. Data sources used include ambulance dispatch data, emergency room visits, pharmacy sales, and spontaneous reports from the public. Using a variety of simulated disease outbreak models, we evaluate the power of the space-time scan statistic to detect an outbreak in a timely manner.

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