Abstract #302225

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JSM 2003 Abstract #302225
Activity Number: 240
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 5, 2003 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #302225
Title: A Multisite Assessment of the Extent and Correlates of Arrest Recidivism and Its Impact on Arrestee Drug Abuse Prevalence and Pattern Estimations
Author(s): Zhiwei Zhang*+ and Dean Gerstein
Companies: NORC at the University of Chicago and NORC at the University of Chicago
Address: 1350 Connecticut Ave., Suite 500, Washington, DC, 20036-1736,
Keywords: recidivism ; drug abuse ; arrestee ; Poisson regression
Abstract:

Policymakers are increasingly interested in getting the total number estimations of drug abusing arrestees in addition to the total number of arrest incidents. Using a representative sample of Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring System (ADAM) data from 2000-2002, this study assesses the extent of recidivism among more than 60,000 adult male and female arrests and examines, through Poisson regressions, whether the empirical correlates of arrestees' recidivism and offending pattern are variant or invariant across various urban sites. The authors propose a weighting scheme and evaluate its utility in modeling a variety of drug abuse and acquisition activities. The authors also discuss some of the strengths and weaknesses of recidivism analysis and suggest future directions for policy and statistical research.

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