Abstract #302154

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JSM 2003 Abstract #302154
Activity Number: 453
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 7, 2003 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Government Statistics
Abstract - #302154
Title: An Investigation into Adjusting the One-Number Census Estimates for Dependence
Author(s): James J. Brown*+ and Ian Diamond and Owen Abbott
Companies: University of Southampton and Economic & Social and Office for National Statistics
Address: Social Statistics, Southampton, , SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom
Keywords: Census ; underenumeration ; dependence ; DSE
Abstract:

Underpinning the One-Number Census (ONC) estimation system is the assumption of independence between the count of the population given by the 2001 Census and the count given by the Census Coverage Survey. This paper assumes that an estimate of dependence between households in the form of an odds ratio is available and suggests a strategy for adjusting ONC estimates to account for this. The strategy is thoroughly tested using a simulation exercise based on the simulations already carried out on the ONC estimation methodology and found to perform well. To illustrate its application to real data, the final section contains an adjustment of 2001 ONC estimates for the South region of England. This includes a proposed method for estimating the level of dependence between households. There is also an assessment of the robustness of the methodology with respect to the underlying assumptions.

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