Abstract #302086

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JSM 2003 Abstract #302086
Activity Number: 233
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 5, 2003 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business & Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #302086
Title: A Multivariate Decomposition Model for Bid and Ask Quotes
Author(s): Eric Zivot*+ and Bingcheng Yan
Companies: University of Washington and University of Washington
Address: Box 353330, Seattle, WA, 98195-3330,
Keywords: autologistic ; duration ; forecasting ; multivariate models ; cointegration ; multinomial
Abstract:

We extend the univariate Rydberg-Shephard activity, direction and size decomposition of trade-by-trade price changes to handle a bivariate system of bid/ask quotes changes. We argue that this type of model handles the discrete nature and irregular spacing of a system of quote changes better than existing models based on standard multivariate time series techniques. We illustrate our model using a sample of intraday foreign exchange quotes on the Dollar/Yen, Dollar/Euro and Euro/Yen.


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