Abstract #302004

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JSM 2003 Abstract #302004
Activity Number: 365
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 6, 2003 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business & Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #302004
Title: Modeling Insurance Data with a Composite Lognormal-Pareto Model
Author(s): Kahadawala Cooray*+ and Malwane M. A. Ananda
Companies: University of Nevada and University of Nevada
Address: Dept. of Mathematics, Las Vegas, NV, 89154,
Keywords: lognormal distribution ; Pareto distribution
Abstract:

The lognormal distribution and the Pareto distribution are commonly used to model insurance payments and loss data. These types of data are extremely positively skewed and distributed with a thick upper tail. Due to the heavy upper tails, Pareto distribution is often used to model the upper portion of payments and loss data. However, due to its shape, Pareto distribution does not provide a reasonable model for the full range of data. Therefore, the lognormal distribution is often used to model the full range of data. We model these payments data using a composite lognormal-pareto model, specifically a two-parameter lognormal density up to an unknown threshold value and a two-parameter Pareto density for the remaining half. Once the continuity and differentiability conditions are imposed, the resulting density is only a two-parameter density. We will discuss the properties and the parameter estimation of this new model and compare its performance with the other commonly used models.


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