Abstract #301619

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JSM 2003 Abstract #301619
Activity Number: 26
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, August 3, 2003 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Abstract - #301619
Title: Spatio-temporal Patterns of Juvenile and Adult Crimes in Virginia
Author(s): Sanjeev Sridharan*+
Companies: Westat
Address: 1650 Research Blvd., Rockville, MD, 20850-3195,
Keywords: spatio-temporal modeling ; exploratory spatial data analysis ; crime patterns ; spatial externalities
Abstract:

Dynamic exploratory and confirmatory spatial methods are used to study the spatio-temporal patterns of adult and juvenile Crimes in Virginia. Recently, developed multivariate extensions of Moran's I are implemented to study both the bivariate relationships between crimes and county-level risk factors, as well as the space-time properties of juvenile and adult crimes. Confirmatory spatial methods are implemented to assess the contribution of county-level risk factors in explaining adult and juvenile crimes. The heterogeneity of the linkages between county-level risk factors and crime are explored using models of spatial regimes. The analytical focus is on the empirical verification of the spatial externalities involved in crime rates and the form of spatial externalities. The differences in the spatio-temporal patterns of juvenile and adult crimes are explored.


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