Abstract #301154

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JSM 2003 Abstract #301154
Activity Number: 91
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2003 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Social Statistics Section
Abstract - #301154
Title: Statistical Modeling of Individual Trip Frequency Using Household Surveys of Travel Behavior
Author(s): Supriti Singh*+ and Duane L. Steffey
Companies: Fair Isaac Corporation and San Diego State University
Address: 11595-5 Compass Point Dr. North, San Diego, CA, 92126,
Keywords: trip frequency ; generalized linear models ; Dirichlet-multinomial distribution ; within-household correlation
Abstract:

Approaches to modeling human travel behavior typically use the household as the unit of analysis. Although a household-based approach might have seemed natural in previous eras, society's increasing motorization suggests that individual-based models would more adequately capture the travel dynamics of contemporary life. Developing individual-based models from household surveys, however, requires modeling of the likely correlated behavior of individuals within the same household. This study develops individual-based models using data on trip frequency (i.e., the number of trips taken in a particular day) from a recent travel behavior survey conducted in San Diego. Several approaches are considered, including generalized linear models and adjustments of Pearson chi-squared statistics based on the Dirichlet-multinomial model. These approaches yield estimates of within-household correlation, as well as the influence of both household and individual covariates on trip frequency.


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