JSM 2003 Online Program

Abstract #300913

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Activity Number:	70
Type:	Invited
Date/Time:	Monday, August 4, 2003 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor:	Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Abstract - #300913
Title:	Prediction and Bounding of Degradation Paths
Author(s):	Joanne R. Wendelberger*+
Companies:	Los Alamos National Laboratory
Address:	620 Los Pueblos St., Los Alamos, NM, 87544-2615,
Keywords:
Abstract:	Statistical methods for prediction and bounding can provide valuable information about material aging processes. As a material ages, properties of the material may change as a function of time. Statistical modeling tools can be used to develop distributional information for prediction and bounding of degradation behavior. A variety of types of data may be encountered, which may require various types of modeling and bounding approaches. Variability in predicted degradation paths may arise from random errors, systematic errors, variability in model parameters, as well as alternate model specifications.

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