Abstract #300905

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JSM 2003 Abstract #300905
Activity Number: 222
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 5, 2003 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Government Statistics
Abstract - #300905
Title: Accuracy of the 2000 Census
Author(s): David McMillen*+
Companies: House of Representatives
Address: RM 350 A Rayburn House Office Bldg., Washington, DC, 20515,
Keywords:
Abstract:

Some observers of the 2000 census have said that it is as close to perfect as possible, while others have concluded that the 2000 census was no more accurate that the 1990 census. You might remember that many called the 1990 census a failure. This paper reviews the controversy over correcting the census through the lens of measuring census error. What do we know about census error, and how do we know it? Demographic accounting was developed at the Census Bureau as a method to use birth records, death records, and information on in-and-out migration to provide an independent estimation of the population. This method could only provide net error at the national level. However, the strength of the census is providing data for small areas, which inevitably led to pressure for the development of measures of error for small areas which could be used to correct census counts. The Census Bureau chose dual system estimation to meet this need. This paper looks at the gains in understanding census error provided by dual system estimation, and makes recommendations for measuring error in the 2010 census.


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