JSM 2003 Online Program

Abstract #300656

This is the preliminary program for the 2003 Joint Statistical Meetings in San Francisco, California. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 2-5, 2003); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

To View the Program:
You may choose to view all activities of the program or just parts of it at any one time. All activities are arranged by date and time.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.

Back to main JSM 2003 Program page

Activity Number:	338
Type:	Contributed
Date/Time:	Wednesday, August 6, 2003 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor:	Section on Statistical Education
Abstract - #300656
Title:	When Good Assumptions Go Bad
Author(s):	John C. Turner*+
Companies:	United States Naval Academy
Address:	225 Autumn Ln., Centreville, MD, 21617,
Keywords:	binomial ; prediction interval ; confidence interval
Abstract:	Many elementary probability courses mention the assumptions behind (some) of the common distributions. Much less common is a discussion of how failure to meet these assumptions will affect the calculations. I discuss how to address the effect of (1) nonindependent trials and (2) nonconstant p in the binomial distribution. The methods discussed are accessible in an introductory probability course and may even be being taught already. For each case, I discuss the effect on calculating probabilities, prediction intervals, confidence intervals and p values.

The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2003 program