Abstract #300428

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JSM 2003 Abstract #300428
Activity Number: 123
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2003 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business & Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #300428
Title: Nonparametric Test for Long Memory against Structural Change
Author(s): Nan-Jung Hsu*+
Companies: National Tsing Hua University
Address: Graduate Institute of Statistics, Taipei, International, 11529, Taiwan
Keywords: Kolmogorov-Smirnov test ; temporal aggregation
Abstract:

Many studies have found that mean structural change may produce realizations with slowly decaying autocorrelations, which resembles the long-memory phenomenon. In this study, we focus on two classes of models: mean plus noise model and Markov switching model with certain gradually changing mechanisms. By exploring the nonstationary properties of the mechanisms, a nonparametric test is proposed to distinguish these two classes of models from long memory. The test has good performance for finite sample verified by a simulation study. Examples with simulated and real data are presented. (This is a joint work with H.C. Ho.)


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