Abstract #301849


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JSM 2002 Abstract #301849
Activity Number: 313
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 14, 2002 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Physical & Engineering Sciences*
Abstract - #301849
Title: Probability of Failure Calculations for Designing Aircraft Engines
Author(s): Peter Hovey*+
Affiliation(s): University of Dayton
Address: 484 Twinning Drive, Dayton, Ohio, 45469-2316, USA
Keywords: Reliability ; Aerospace ; Computations
Abstract:

The safety requirements for commercial and military aircraft specify extremely high reliability for engines. Traditional Monte Carlo techniques are hindered by the complexity of failure modes in aircraft engines, which require complex computational methods and impractical computation time to determine the probability of failure. This paper will review some of the methods that have been used to produce quicker estimates of the probability of failure, summarizing the pros and cons of each.


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Revised March 2002