Abstract #301442


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JSM 2002 Abstract #301442
Activity Number: 357
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 14, 2002 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: General Methodology
Abstract - #301442
Title: Confidence Sets for Semiparametric Models Using MCMC
Author(s): John Dixon*+ and Michael Kosorok
Affiliation(s): University of Wisconsin, Madison and University of Wisconsin, Madison
Address: , Madison, Wisconsin, ,
Keywords: semiparametric inference ; survival analysis ; confidence sets ; empirical processes ; markov chain monte carlo ; bootstrap
Abstract:

We consider confidence sets for a class of semiparametric models, which includes frailty regression models arising in survival analysis. We propose a method of obtaining random draws for the parametric and nonparametric components of such a model, that is a combination of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Bootstrap methods. When centered about the maximum likelihood estimates, these draws have a distribution conditional on the data that is asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of the MLEs, allowing the construction of confidence sets. The procedure has the advantage over the unmodified bootstrap in that one does not need to maximize the bootstrap likelihood. We illustrate the procedure with a data set.


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