Abstract #301260


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JSM 2002 Abstract #301260
Activity Number: 11
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, August 11, 2002 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: IMS
Abstract - #301260
Title: On the Identifiability of the Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Survival Estimator
Author(s): Alain Vandal*+ and Robert Gentleman and Xuecheng Liu
Affiliation(s): McGill University and Harvard University and McGill University
Address: Burnside Hall, 805, rue Sherbrooke ouest, Montréal, Quebec, H3A 2K6, Canada
Keywords: censored data ; graph theory ; survival estimation
Abstract:

The general case of interval censored data encompasses the well-studied cases of current status data, doubly-censored data, and right-censored data. We use very basic graph-theoretical concepts to highlight some fundamental differences between the univariate and the bivariate nonparametric maximum likelihood estimates (NPMLE) of the survival function. In particular, two types of unidentifiabilities may beset the NPMLE. The more fundamental of the two, which we call mixture unidentifiability, can only appear in the multivariate case. We show how mixture unidentifiability is related to the appearance of cycles in the interval graph of the data. We also show how to characterize all likelihood-maximizing solutions by expressing them as a convex combination of optimal solutions. We also discuss the consequences of unidentifiability on some estimators based on the NPMLE.


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