Abstract #301133


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JSM 2002 Abstract #301133
Activity Number: 252
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 13, 2002 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Stat. Sciences*
Abstract - #301133
Title: Combining Multiple Kaplan-Meier Estimators: A Bayesian Model
Author(s): Peter Bouman*+ and Xiao-Li Meng and Vanja Dukic+
Affiliation(s): Harvard University and Harvard University and University of Chicago
Address: Science Center 610, 1 Oxford Street, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 02138, 5841 South Maryland Avenue, MC2007, Chicago, Illinois, 60637,
Keywords: Meta-analysis ; Survival Analysis ; Bayesian Statistics ; Kaplan-Meier estimator
Abstract:

The Kaplan-Meier product-limit estimator $KM(t)$ is a popular method of estimating a non-parametric survival curve $S(t)$ from (possibly censored) follow-up data from a given study group. If we want to make inferences about a population survival curve from multiple, heterogeneous study-specific $KM_{i}(t)$, though, the nonparametric nature of $S(t)$ makes it difficult to combine multiple estimators. We propose a simple, flexible Bayesian model for survival curve heterogeneity which estimates overall survival probabilities at specific time horizons of interest. We apply the model to a meta-analysis of protease-inhibitor survival data, producing estimates of study heterogeneity and the overall survival distribution.


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