Abstract #300918


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JSM 2002 Abstract #300918
Activity Number: 244
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 13, 2002 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods*
Abstract - #300918
Title: Exploratory Analysis of Generalized Variance Function Models for the U.S. Current Employment Survey
Author(s): Larry Huff*+ and John Eltinge and Julie Gershunskaya
Affiliation(s): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Address: 2 Massachusetts Avenue NE, Washington, District of Columbia, 20212,
Keywords: Chi-square distribution approximations ; Design-based inference ; Lack of fit ; Residual plot ; Superpopulation model
Abstract:

For the Current Employment Statistics Program, approximately unbiased and stable variance estimators are important for the empirical evaluation of standard design-based point estimators, and for production of related small domain estimators. In some cases, standard design-based variance estimators can be relatively unstable, which may lead to consideration of alternative variance estimators based on generalized variance functions. This paper presents an exploratory analysis of generalized variance function models for estimates of total monthly employment with domains determined by the intersection of metropolitan statistical area and major industrial division. Three topics receive principal attention: a.) a detailed description of features of the underlying sample design that are important in variance estimation; b.) graphical evaluation of potential biases in generalized variance function estimators; and c.) omnibus measures of the relative magnitudes of the fixed and random components of model lack of fit.


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