Abstract #300778


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JSM 2002 Abstract #300778
Activity Number: 65
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 12, 2002 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Business & Economics Statistics Section*
Abstract - #300778
Title: Noninvertible Moving Average Modeling Via All-Pass Filters
Author(s): Jay Breidt*+ and Richard Davis and Beth Andrews
Affiliation(s): Colorado State University and Colorado State University and Colorado State University
Address: 201 Statistics, Fort Collins, Colorado, 80523-1877, USA
Keywords: non-Gaussian time series ; quasi-likelihood ; least absolute deviations
Abstract:

All-pass models are autoregressive-moving average models in which all of the roots of the autoregressive polynomial are reciprocals of roots of the moving average polynomial and vice versa. All-pass models generate uncorrelated (white noise) time series, but these series are not independent in the non-Gaussian case. If an all-pass is driven with heavy-tailed noise, then its marginal distribution will also have heavy tails, and the process will exhibit "volatility clustering" much like a nonlinear model such as ARCH. All-pass models are useful in identifying and estimating noninvertible moving averages. Theoretical properties of alternative estimation procedures for all-pass, based on a likelihood approximation and related criterion functions, are described. Behavior of the estimators in finite samples is studied via simulation.


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