Abstract #300563

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JSM 2002 Abstract #300563
Activity Number: 152
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 12, 2002 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section*
Abstract - #300563
Title: Estimating HIV Prevalence With the CDC's New Born Seroprevalence Model
Author(s): Lawrence Lessner*+
Affiliation(s): State University of New York, Albany
Address: One University Place, Rensselaer Campus, Rensselaer, New York, 12144-3456,
Keywords: HIV Prevalence ; New Born Seroprevalence
Abstract:

The National New Born Seroprevalence Survey tested blood from all births in a given year for HIV status. The result was the seroprevalence for all women who gave birth that year. A model was designed by Dr. John Karon, Centers for Disease Control, that employed the results of the New Born Seroprevalence Survey, and in a series of steps, estimated HIV prevalence for both men and women. The work presented here elaborates and extends the CDC's model so that variance estimates for HIV prevalence at each step are obtained, and compares the results of the CDC's model to the estimates of HIV prevalence obtained from other modeling efforts for New York City, 1990.

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Revised March 2002